A MODEL FOR ESTIMATING AND PREDICTING RISK LEVEL OF FIRE HAZARDS DURING CONSTRUCTION, UTILIZATION AND REPAIR WORKS ON LARGE-CAPACITY VESSELS
Abstract and keywords
Abstract:
The article addresses the monitoring and prediction of fire occurrences during the construction, utilization, and repair of large-capacity surface and submarine vessels. It establishes a connection between fire hazard levels and the parameters of technological processes. Proposed are levels for ranking fire danger and their classification. A model for predicting and monitoring fire danger is developed based on first- and second-level classifiers, which assess the fire hazard level of technological processes, the influence of fire load characteristics on the vessel, and external environmental factors, considering the current time, day of the week, and month. This model uses input parameters from construction, utilization, or reconstruction projects to determine how these characteristics impact the overall fire danger of the object. The study identifies eight primary first-level classifiers that affect the fire danger of the object. The complexity of the model lies in the fact that the construction, utilization, and reconstruction projects are dynamically changing systems with varying input parameters and continuously shifting geometric dimensions. The system accounts for all changes and the set of input parameters at the beginning of the work shift, yielding a resultant fire danger level

Keywords:
large-capacity vessels, model for monitoring and forecasting, ignition, fire, fire detection, ship repair, fire hazard
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References

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