STATISTICAL MODELING OF THE DEPENDENCE OF DAMAGE FROM FIRES IN THE RESIDENTIAL SECTOR OF CITIES ON THE INDICATORS OF RAPID RESPONSE AND FIRE EXTINGUISHING
Abstract and keywords
Abstract:
Based on the analysis of fire statistics for the Voronezh Region from 2019 to 2021, quantitative dependencies were obtained for the amount of total area of residential premises destroyed and damaged by fire in residential buildings and apartments of cities on the indicators of rapid response and fire extinguishing. For residential buildings and apartments of cities of the Voronezh Region, an assessment was made of the average damage per fire associated with the destruction of and damage to the total area of residential premises, as well as associated with direct material damage. It is shown that the main share of material damage from a fire in residential buildings and apartments of cities of the Voronezh Region is associated with the destruction of and damage to the total area of residential premises. Based on the panel analysis of statistical data on fire statistics for the regions of Russia from 2006 to 2018, a quantitative dependence of the integral fire risk R2 of deaths from fires in the residential sector of the regions of Russia on the time of arrival of the first fire brigade to the scene of the fire was obtained. The statistical significance of the coefficient determining the influence of the average time of arrival of the first guard to the fire site on the value of R2 indicates that fire brigades that arrived to the fire site for the minimum time significantly increased the number of people saved during the fire. The obtained results allow more accurate accounting of human and material losses from fires in the residential sector of the regions of Russia, depending on the indicators of rapid response and fire extinguishing

Keywords:
uscherb ot pozharov, statisticheskiy analiz, pokazateli operativnogo reagirovaniya i tusheniya pozharov, zhiloy sektor
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References

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